Saturday, October 16, 2010

The party is over

ICF expects the U.S. power sector will add 340 gigawatts of new generation by 2030, not only to meet growing demand, but to replace 75 GW of coal-fired generation that will be forced to shut due to stricter air, water and waste regulation
ANALYSIS - U.S. power supply inadequate for economic recovery


There is a battle brewing among conservationist and environmentalists concerning nuclear power. I challenge the reader to find up to date comparisons on the relative costs of wind, solar, nuclear and fossil fuel power generation.
This is kind of old
Load-Resource Balance in
the Western Interconnection:
Towards 2020
page 21.
Also, I don't know if anybody has calculated the true costs (cradle to cradle) of any of them. We may not know how.


And finally, an excellent article that speaks of the coming permanent recession (no growth).
So, while Obama talked climate change in Copenhagen, he pushed for accelerated growth and consumption, emphasising such climate-deadly industries as private automobile production, new road construction, nuclear power generation, and continued coal extraction (including horrendous "mountain top removal") while extolling an entirely theoretical "clean coal". He was also for expanding manufacture of heavy industrial equipment, and for more export-oriented industrial agriculture, as well as "new housing starts", increased oil drilling in deepwater zones – such as BP's – and for deadly tar sands development, all in hopes of growth, profit and jobs.


Watching his performance from a distance, we really don't know if he understands the contradictions in this pattern, how one goal cancels the other, or if he has simply made a "safer" political choice. If so, it's safer only in the very short run, as the entire economic system, and possibly industrial-consumer society itself, face intrinsic systemic problems, which may not be solvable. Trying to save an old economic model that is near collapse, he may sacrifice the opportunity to mitigate climate change and save the world.
...


But the conclusion is clear. From here on, no one gets off easy. Everyone's in the same boat, caught in the same systemic conflict. The conundrums apply as much to Morales as to Cameron and Obama. Growth is over, and they need a real, clear vision of a way forward. That's true for all of us. Surely it's time to agree that the first step is to start drawing curtains on an obsolete, out-of-date system that could kill us all, and to shape a new one. Which brings us to the good news.
Climate change v capitalism: the feast is almost over


This is the first I've seen that outlines steps we can take to transition to a sustainable economic model. It will require that mankind understands that Mother Nature has veto power.


My other concern about the above article is it seems to think capitalism is the cause of our problems.


Capitalism is an economic system in which the means of production are privately owned and operated for a private profit; decisions regarding supply, demand, price, distribution, and investments are made by private actors in the market rather than by central planning by the government; profit is distributed to owners who invest in businesses, and wages are paid to workers employed by businesses and companies.
Capitalism


But I think the main problem isn't the private enterprise, free market model that is capitalism, but is the fact that we the people have allowed private ownership (or pollution) of resources that are "held in common", stuff like air and water that belongs to us all. Also, when the Supreme Court grants a corporation "person hood", even though it has no conscience and takes no personal responsibility for its actions, that is a real problem. So it's not the model, it's the execution. In the end the US will have to accept a more European model... one that recognizes that our government needs to protect us from greedy sociopathic corporations.





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